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Auto Talk => ⚡ Electric Power ⚡ => Topic started by: Morris Minor on February 28, 2024, 05:31:46 AM

Title: Apple shuts down EV project
Post by: Morris Minor on February 28, 2024, 05:31:46 AM
Good move. This always seemed like an off-mission pain in the ass distraction for Apple. Now if they could only  develop a range of high-end TVs with baked-in tvOS... 🤔

RIP Apple Car. This Is Why It Died
Any tech company moving into the auto space needs a manufacturing partner. But the Apple's EV died as it lived: alone.
More:
https://www.wired.com/story/rip-apple-car-this-is-why-it-died/
Title: Re: Apple shuts down EV project
Post by: veeman on February 28, 2024, 07:43:32 AM
I wonder how much of this is related to the increasing likelihood that full self driving cars are a fairy tale in the foreseeable future. 
Title: Re: Apple shuts down EV project
Post by: GoCougs on February 28, 2024, 12:33:16 PM
Huge cash investment. Long product cycles. Extensive supply chain. Low margins. Endless regulation. Knuckle-dragging labor unions. It was a bad idea from the get-go. Autonomous driving = fairy tale was probably part of it. IMO, the largest factor is that EVs simply are not a viable business and there is no path to get there.
Title: Re: Apple shuts down EV project
Post by: CaminoRacer on February 28, 2024, 01:17:03 PM
I'm surprised the project was even started, much less lasted this long.
Title: Re: Apple shuts down EV project
Post by: Laconian on February 28, 2024, 01:27:07 PM
A ZIRP period dalliance to pump the stock, I'm guessing.
Title: Re: Apple shuts down EV project
Post by: FoMoJo on February 28, 2024, 01:30:55 PM
If people don't want to be bothered operating the controls of a vehicle they should take the train, or a horse.
Title: Re: Apple shuts down EV project
Post by: ChrisV on February 29, 2024, 11:13:11 AM
Quote from: GoCougs on February 28, 2024, 12:33:16 PMIMO, the largest factor is that EVs simply are not a viable business and there is no path to get there.

This is rather false. The issue is and was autonomous driving AND trying to ground-up a car company (which is much more difficult than a phone company).
Title: Re: Apple shuts down EV project
Post by: GoCougs on February 29, 2024, 11:55:55 AM
Quote from: CaminoRacer on February 28, 2024, 01:17:03 PMI'm surprised the project was even started, much less lasted this long.

Quote from: Laconian on February 28, 2024, 01:27:07 PMA ZIRP period dalliance to pump the stock, I'm guessing.

Apple has/had tens of billions of $$$ on hand and hadn't had a Big Thing since the iPad in 2010. So why not?

At the time Apple started, EV + AD looked like it was going to change the world. Turns out not so much (at all).
Title: Re: Apple shuts down EV project
Post by: giant_mtb on February 29, 2024, 01:30:07 PM
Status quo Apple...they'll wait 'til the tech is viable/profitable and they can put their own twist on it, elevate/perfect-ish it, and make people really want it for Apple prices.
Title: Re: Apple shuts down EV project
Post by: CaminoRacer on February 29, 2024, 02:19:34 PM
I find it interesting that companies like Tesla have managed to get the general public to see EV, AV, and touch-screen only interior controls are as a combined new tech & way forward into the future, when in reality they can all be completely separate and exist without the others.
Title: Re: Apple shuts down EV project
Post by: SJ_GTI on February 29, 2024, 02:33:14 PM
Quote from: CaminoRacer on February 29, 2024, 02:19:34 PMI find it interesting that companies like Tesla have managed to get the general public to see EV, AV, and touch-screen only interior controls are as a combined new tech & way forward into the future, when in reality they can all be completely separate and exist without the others.

It's disappointing to me. I'd love a car with an electric drivetrain but otherwise keep the car fairly conventional. I thought this was something the more old-fashioned car companies would do but they mostly went to the other extreme and tried to out-Tesla Tesla.
Title: Re: Apple shuts down EV project
Post by: GoCougs on February 29, 2024, 02:38:24 PM
Quote from: CaminoRacer on February 29, 2024, 02:19:34 PMI find it interesting that companies like Tesla have managed to get the general public to see EV, AV, and touch-screen only interior controls are as a combined new tech & way forward into the future, when in reality they can all be completely separate and exist without the others.

WtP buy Tesla (hook/line/sinker), not EV and/or AV and/or full touch interior.
Title: Re: Apple shuts down EV project
Post by: Rich on February 29, 2024, 03:51:02 PM
I wish I could choose the FullTouch™️ interior option.

Title: Re: Apple shuts down EV project
Post by: CaminoRacer on February 29, 2024, 04:13:40 PM
Quote from: Rich on February 29, 2024, 03:51:02 PMI wish I could choose the FullTouch™️ interior option.



I think there are some massage places that offer it
Title: Re: Apple shuts down EV project
Post by: GoCougs on February 29, 2024, 11:49:35 PM
Quote from: ChrisV on February 29, 2024, 11:13:11 AMThis is rather false. The issue is and was autonomous driving AND trying to ground-up a car company (which is much more difficult than a phone company).

No. Apple didn't get within a trillion miles of starting a car company; i.e., zero investment in production and supply chain. Apple's efforts were in industrial design, electronics and "software."

The plan was to have an established automaker actually build the car. Thing is, after a bit of time, EVs were shown to not be viable business for them, so by definition it wouldn't have been for Apple, either.

Title: Re: Apple shuts down EV project
Post by: ChrisV on April 03, 2024, 07:47:59 AM
Quote from: GoCougs on February 29, 2024, 11:49:35 PMNo. Apple didn't get within a trillion miles of starting a car company; i.e., zero investment in production and supply chain. Apple's efforts were in industrial design, electronics and "software."

The plan was to have an established automaker actually build the car. Thing is, after a bit of time, EVs were shown to not be viable business for them, so by definition it wouldn't have been for Apple, either.



Um, no. It was all about Apple's autonomous driving that wasn't viable and what they wanted to work (and spent al the money on). EVs are still increasing in sales at least 50% year after year. They ARE a viable business, but autonomous driving is not. It also started the project in 2014 as an EV to Rival Tesla, then changed into and AD project, then very recently back into a Tesla fighter, but by then they had spent 10 billion on it. But, as the NYT has reported, "But it festered and ultimately fizzled in large part because developing the software and algorithms for a car with autonomous driving features proved too difficult."

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/28/technology/behind-the-apple-car-dead.html

QuoteFor the last decade, many Apple employees working on the company's secretive car project, internally code-named Titan, had a less flattering name for it: the Titanic disaster. They knew the project was likely to fail.

Throughout its existence, the car effort was scrapped and rebooted several times, shedding hundreds of workers along the way. As a result of dueling views among leaders about what an Apple car should be, it began as an electric vehicle that would compete against Tesla and morphed into a self-driving car to rival Google's Waymo.

By the time of its death — Tuesday, when executives announced internally that the project was being killed and that many members of the team were being reassigned to work on artificial intelligence — Apple had burned more than $10 billion on the project and the car had reverted to its beginnings as an electric vehicle with driving-assistance features rivaling Tesla's, according to a half dozen people who worked on the project over the past decade.

The car project's demise was a testament to the way Apple has struggled to develop new products in the years since Steve Jobs's death in 2011. The effort had four different leaders and conducted multiple rounds of layoffs. But it festered and ultimately fizzled in large part because developing the software and algorithms for a car with autonomous driving features proved too difficult.

I know you don't like EVs because you really don't know what you're talking about, but this really proves it.
Title: Re: Apple shuts down EV project
Post by: GoCougs on April 03, 2024, 09:21:11 AM
Quote from: ChrisV on April 03, 2024, 07:47:59 AMUm, no. It was all about Apple's autonomous driving that wasn't viable and what they wanted to work (and spent al the money on). EVs are still increasing in sales at least 50% year after year. They ARE a viable business, but autonomous driving is not. It also started the project in 2014 as an EV to Rival Tesla, then changed into and AD project, then very recently back into a Tesla fighter, but by then they had spent 10 billion on it. But, as the NYT has reported, "But it festered and ultimately fizzled in large part because developing the software and algorithms for a car with autonomous driving features proved too difficult."

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/28/technology/behind-the-apple-car-dead.html
 

I know you don't like EVs because you really don't know what you're talking about, but this really proves it.

Uff da - been a while since that exchange. Here, let me help you by rebaselining with facts (commentation):

1.) Autonomous doesn't work - Apple's flavor or otherwise (Kudos to Apple however for giving up on a pig-in-a-poke);
2.) Apple didn't try to "ground-up" an auto company (Kudos to Apple for planning to partner with a legacy automaker);
3.) EVs are not a viable business because automakers (GM, Ford, Rivian, Lucid, Toyota, etc.) tell you it's not a viable business (EV sales have increased but market share has dropped = viability not remotely close).


Title: Re: Apple shuts down EV project
Post by: Morris Minor on April 05, 2024, 08:45:55 AM
I would not have believed this 18 months ago but now we're dipping our toes into the realm of embodied AI, I now think autonomous, or close to it, is achievable.
Title: Re: Apple shuts down EV project
Post by: MrH on April 05, 2024, 09:05:53 AM
Quote from: Morris Minor on April 05, 2024, 08:45:55 AMI would not have believed this 18 months ago but now we're dipping our toes into the realm of embodied AI, I now think autonomous, or close to it, is achievable.

How soon?  Want to put a fun wager on it?   :devil:
Title: Re: Apple shuts down EV project
Post by: giant_mtb on April 05, 2024, 09:29:09 AM
Quote from: Morris Minor on April 05, 2024, 08:45:55 AMI would not have believed this 18 months ago but now we're dipping our toes into the realm of embodied AI, I now think autonomous, or close to it, is achievable.

It is also achievable that I build a rocket and take it to the moon.  It's achievable, and possible, but that doesn't mean it's gonna happen.
Title: Re: Apple shuts down EV project
Post by: AutobahnSHO on April 07, 2024, 07:13:16 AM
Quote from: Morris Minor on April 05, 2024, 08:45:55 AMI would not have believed this 18 months ago but now we're dipping our toes into the realm of embodied AI, I now think autonomous, or close to it, is achievable.

I honestly don't think so.

"AI" is just more complicated algorithms using larger sources of data. It's just too complex to weave AI model 1 which can do a specific thing together with AI model 2 which can do a different specific thing and hope they can actually make decent decisions.
Title: Re: Apple shuts down EV project
Post by: Morris Minor on April 07, 2024, 09:18:36 AM
I'm not going to wager on when. There's one consistently 100% uniform human trait: we are incredibly bad at predicting the future. Like asking a hamster to do calculus.

That said, I think it's feasible. It won't come from a legacy car manufacturer; they are metal benders, already retreating to hybrids with grafted-on outsourced ADAS systems... keep Joe Lunchpail's union happy and the cylinders pumping gases.

It'll come from a software house with a small team of computer scientists driving it.

The big challenge will be regulatory, clarifying accountability while not doing a European Union: suffocate it at birth.
Title: Re: Apple shuts down EV project
Post by: AutobahnSHO on April 08, 2024, 07:10:23 AM
Quote from: Morris Minor on April 07, 2024, 09:18:36 AMIt'll come from a software house with a small team of computer scientists driving it.

The big challenge will be regulatory, clarifying accountability while not doing a European Union: suffocate it at birth.

True and true. The big dogs don't innovate enough.

The new dogs don't know how to wade through the paperwork game as well.